I generally dislike posts pertaining to shark attacks, and speculations that arise from media sensationalism that seem to accompany any attack but... Reading the local mullet wrapper this morning there was a decent blurb on the new shark attack (unprovoked) stats for 2000.
Looks like there is only a 12.7% chance of you buying the farm if attacked. Although this is the world-wide mean with the majority of the attacks occurring in the US (69.6%). 'Within Florida, Volusia County had the most (12) shark incidents, which is largely attributable to high aquatic recreational utilization of its attractive waters by large numbers of Florida residents and tourists, especially surfers.'
Although there is a high percentage of attacks in Florida there was only one death, which I think may have been heart-attack induced. It looks like your highest chance of becoming shark excrement is in Australia (43%, gee go figure) with 7 total attacks and 3 deaths. The article continues ...
'Swimmers-waders (46.1% of cases with victim activity information) and surfers-windsurfers (31.6%) were the recreational user groups most often subjected to shark attack in 2000. Other attacks involved upon divers/snorkelers (18.4%) and body surfers (2.6%). A single attack (1.3%) occurred during a water entry event.'
The authors of the web site make a good point with the correlation between an increased human presence and shark attack numbers. 'The number of shark-human interactions transpiring in a given year is directly correlated to the amount of human time spent in the sea. As the world population continues to upsurge and the time spent in aquatic recreation greatly rises, we might expect an annual increase in the number of attacks. By contrast, nearshore shark populations are declining at a serious rate in many areas of the world as a result of overfishing, theoretically reducing the opportunity for these shark-human interactions.'
It would be interesting to look at the relationship between attacks and population using a different statistical analysis (GLM, ANOVA, don't know if you could apply these, I seem to have forgotten everything!) Overall the odds look good for us although not so good for sharks (the odds are even better for craig and the GL crowd).
Anyway something to chew on ... (ha, bad shark pun)
Check out
http://www.flmnh.ufl.edu/fish/Sharks/sharks.htm for more information.
Andy 'Man shouldn't bite shark'